Determinants of Tourism Demand Using Machine Learning Techniques
Musonera Abdou
(African Centre of Excellence in Data Science, College of Business and Economics, University of Rwanda)
Edouard Musabanganji
(School of Economics, College of Business and Economics, University of Rwanda)
Herman Musahara
(School of Economics, College of Business and Economics, University of Rwanda)
Journal: African Journal of Hospitality, Tourism and Leisure
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• AfricaJournals
• ISSN: 2223-814X
Abstract
The purpose of the current study was to determine factors affecting tourism demand using machine learning techniques. The results of different linear regression and random forest models on both the train and test sets were compared using RMSE and R2
. The random forest model outperformed the linear regression model on both the
training and test sets. Climate, consumer price index, political stability, distance, promotion expenditure, and region of residence are all important factors in explaining total arrivals. The findings of the current research, therefore, provide additional evidence for the effectiveness of the AI based models to improve tourism demand forecasting compared to linear regression models.
Musonera Abdou, Edouard Musabanganji, Herman Musahara (2022). "Determinants of Tourism Demand Using Machine Learning Techniques". African Journal of Hospitality, Tourism and Leisure. https://doi.org/10.46222/ajhtl.19770720.256