Academic Articles & Research Papers

Temporal Trends in the Prevalence of Frailty in England From 2002 to 2022, With Forecasts to 2040: Longitudinal Secondary Analysis of a National Cohort Study.

Socio-economic value of data-driven eruption forecasts to balance false alarms against catastrophic loss.

Global Burden of Ischemic Heart Disease and Ischemic Stroke, 1990-2023: Spatial Heterogeneity, SDI Inequalities, Pandemic-Era Inflections, and Scenario Forecasts to 2035 Using GBD 2023.

Machine learning forecasts suggest a concentration paradox in international student mobility to the United Kingdom.

Burden of cardiovascular diseases in the Asia-Pacific region from 1990 to 2023, with forecasts to 2050: a secondary analysis of the Global Burden of disease study 2023.

Global inequalities in weather forecasts.

Using initial states to identify successful El Niño-Southern Oscillation forecasts 1 year in advance.

Predicting land use and land cover changes for sustainable land management using CA-Markov modelling and GIS techniques

Abstract This study addresses the significant issue of rapid land use and land cover (LULC) changes in Lahore District, which is critical for supporting ecological management and sustainable land-use planning. Understanding these changes is...

Scenarios in Public Policy

About the Author Acknowledgements Abbreviation Introduction Part I: Scenarios in Public Policy Summary Four Scenarios for Public Education in Seattle Rotterdam and Arnhem Mission and Consequences in Bueren Scottish Enterprisea s use of Scen...

The Global Forest Fire Emissions Prediction System version 1.0

The Global Forest Fire Emissions Prediction System (GFFEPS) is a model that estimates biomass burning in near-real time for global air quality forecasting. The model uses a bottom-up approach, based on remotely sensed hotspot locations, and...

Spatial layout optimization model integrating layered attention mechanism in the development of smart tourism management

Tourism demand projection is paramount for both corporate operations and destination management, facilitating tourists in crafting bespoke, multifaceted itineraries and enriching their vacation experiences. This study proposes a multi-layer...

Occupational and Public Exposure During Normal Operation of Radioactive Waste Disposal Facilities

This paper focuses on occupational and public exposure during operation of disposal facilities receiving liquid and solid radioactive waste of various classes and provides a comparative analysis of the relevant doses: actual and calculated ...

Introducing uncertainty of radar-rainfall estimates to the verification of mesoscale model precipitation forecasts

A simple measure of the uncertainty associated with using radar-derived rainfall estimates as "truth" has been introduced to the Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) verification process to assess the effect on forecast skill and er...

Risks of snow drought and impacts on streamflow in Tajikistan

Tajikistan, a mountainous country and a vital water tower for Central Asia, is becoming increasingly vulnerable to snow drought under climate change, threatening its snow- and glacier-fed streamflow. Yet, the impacts of snow drought on the ...

Why COVID-19 Will Not Change the Global Art Market

This article investigates the valuation of artworks during the COVID-19 pandemic. It examines how art market participants employ fictional expectations of the future to stabilize valuations during uncertain times. A total of 86 forecasts or...

A Basin Approach to a Hydrological Service Delivery System in the Amur River Basin

This paper presents the basin approach to the design, development, and operation of a hydrological forecasting and early warning system in a large transboundary river basin of high flood potential, where accurate, reliable, and timely avail...

Comparative study of strongly and weakly coupled data assimilation with a global land–atmosphere coupled model

This study explores coupled land–atmosphere data assimilation (DA) for improving weather and hydrological forecasts by assimilating soil moisture (SM) data. This study integrates a land DA component into a global atmospheric DA system of th...

ECONOMIC FORECASTS BASED ON ECONOMETRIC MODELS USING EViews 5

The forecast of evolution of economic phenomena represent on the most the final objective of econometrics. It withal represent a real attempt of validity elaborate model. Unlike the forecasts based on the study of temporal series which...

Cost Optimisation of Supply Chains in the Food Industry: Cost Function Modelling

The food industry faces complex challenges in managing supply chains, significantly affecting operational performance and costs. This paper explores the critical factors influencing the efficiency of food supply chains, such as product pe...

Cybersecurity in the quantum era: Assessing the impact of quantum computing on infrastructure

The advent of quantum computing marks a transformative era in cybersecurity, challenging traditional cryptographic frameworks and broadening the horizons of computational capabilities. This paper navigates the transition to a quantum-resist...